Europe began the week with a cautious hold pattern. The FTSE 100 was flat, as travel and industrial names fell on the back of new tariff threats, and Iran sanctions. Meanwhile, metal mining companies rallied and reached record highs.
After India and the EU signed a free trade agreement to combat protectionist pressures, geopolitics in relation to trade was at the forefront.
Regulators have also increased their scrutiny on X’s Grok due to alleged CSAM fakes, and LVMH has faced increasing investor anger over Bernard Arnault’s unclear succession plan.
FTSE 100 holds steady
Investors weighed competing forces as they opened the FTSE 100 on Monday.
Travel shares also fell as Trump’s rhetoric on tariffs and new Iran sanctions put the market in a sour mood.
Metal miners have staged a comeback. Precious metals rose 3.6%, reaching record highs, while industrial metals grew 0.9%. This was due to the optimism surrounding commodities amid market anxiety.
Banks and insurance companies remained resilient and HSBC, NatWest and NatWest have both hinted at higher earnings.
The mood was cautious, as Greenland-related geopolitical concerns and increasing trade uncertainties slowed gains. This is despite signs of economic improvement.
Watchlist for the Fed policy announcement later this week, although rate holdouts are expected.
India and the EU seal “mother of all agreements” as Trump’s trade wars change global commerce
India and the EU signed a landmark free-trade agreement Monday after 18 years of stagnant negotiations. The deal was announced formally on Tuesday, at the Republic Day Summit, with EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen in attendance as the chief guest.
This pact includes goods, investments, and services across a 2 billion-person market, which represents 25% of the global GDP.
India gains duty reductions on textiles and electronics, while the EU gets access to India’s huge consumer market.
The tariffs for vehicles have fallen from approximately 110% to 40%. The deal is important because it signals a coordinated opposition to Trump’s protectionism, as Brussels has explicitly diversified away from US dependency.
After ratification of the agreement, implementation will begin in early 2027. Bilateral trade is currently $136.5 billion per year.
EU intensifies Grok crackdown in response to child safety crisis
On Monday, the European Commission opened a formal investigation under the Digital Services Act into X’s Grok AI Chatbot, targeting its production of sexually-explicit deepfakes including child sexual abuse materials (CSAM).
This probe looks at whether X properly assessed the risks prior to deploying Grok. Grok produced approximately three million sexualized pictures of children and women in just a few days, before safety measures kicked in.
Henna Vikkunen, EU tech commissioner Henna called deepfakes a “violent and unacceptable degradation” signalling zero tolerance.
X limited Grok’s ability to generate images only for paid subscribers, but it is now being scrutinized by the UK, India Malaysia, France Germany and Australia.
LVMH’s succession crisis
LVMH’s shareholders demanded on Monday transparency regarding Bernard Arnault’s succession, signaling that the leadership void at $350 billion luxury conglomerate has now become an institution liability.
Arnault, who is 76 years old, extended his tenure as CEO and chair to 85 years in April. This was a second extension. Arnault refused to discuss timelines or name a replacement, saying to CNBC in December last year: “Speak to me in 10 Years.”
Six out of seven institutional investors surveyed by Reuters admitted that they had no clarity about plans. Stefan Bauknecht from DWS, LVMH’s 12th largest shareholder, called succession planning “opaque” and demanded transparency.
The legal filings reveal that each of his children holds 20% in Agache Commandite SAS. This family entity was created to supervise LVMH after Arnault. Corporate governance experts say this structure could be a time bomb, as five heirs needing supermajority voting can lead to deadlock.
LVMH insists on the existence of plans but will not disclose them. The company announced results for Tuesday amid increasing scrutiny.
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