XRP Price Forecast: Declining Trendline Keeps Sellers Control Near $1.80

• XRP is below a long-term descending tendencyline, which keeps the broader structure in a bearish position.
• Spot netflows remain negative, and sellers use rebounds to reduce their exposure.
• Price remains above $1.80 but lacks momentum to confirm a reversal.

The XRP price is currently trading near $1.86. Sellers continue to defend the long-term trendline of descending prices. After weeks of lower highs and price failing to reclaim key levels of resistance, the market remains compressed. Although the downside momentum has slowed down, the structure still favors buyers heading into December 25,

The Descending Structure Defines the Broader Trend

On the daily chart, XRP is still stuck in a long-lasting corrective phase which began after the August high. Price has continued to print lower lows under a descending patternline that slopes now through the $1.95-$2.00 area. Each rally into this zone has been met by supply, strengthening the bearish structure.

XRP is also trading below its mid-range Bollinger Band. The upper band, near $2.13, acts as dynamic resistance. The lower band is located near $1.80 and has become a key level that buyers must defend. Price will remain trapped between these bands as long as volatility remains compressed and directional confidence is limited.

The SAR dots are still above the price on a daily timeframe. This confirms that sellers continue to control the trend. The larger picture suggests that a downtrend is consolidating rather than accumulating ahead of a breakout.

Short Term Charts Show Relief Attempts and Not Reversals

The 30-minute chart shows short-term stabilization attempts but does not confirm a trend change. XRP bounced recently from the $1.84 area to $1.85 and tried to reclaim its intraday trendline. This move was quickly halted, signaling that sellers are still active on minor rallies.

Momentum indicators confirm this interpretation. RSI is near the middle 50s, which indicates balance rather than strength. MACD has crossed modestly upward, but histogram growth remains limited, indicating that the move is not being followed through.

These signals indicate tactical buying and short-covering rather than sustained demand. The short-term strength is fragile without a decisive reclaimation of the $1.95 area.

Spot outflows Continue to Cap Upside

Flow data confirms the technical picture. XRP spot netflows are still negative, indicating that distribution is continuing rather than accumulation. On December 24, netflows revealed an additional $1.95 in outflows. This pattern has been consistent for the majority of the quarter.

The sustained outflows indicate that holders are using the rebounds to reduce their exposure, rather than increase risk. This behavior limits upward momentum and keeps the price pinned near support, despite periodic bounces.

Rallies will likely face resistance until spot flows are consistently positive.

Long-Term Targets Stir Debate, Not Price Action

XRP is gaining attention beyond the charts after South Korean scientist YoungHoon Kim outlined a long-term extreme scenario that calls for a $1,000 price in the next decade. Kim described the projection as conditional and cited assumptions about massive capital inflows to crypto, prolonged inflation, structurally weaker U.S. dollars, etc.

The math behind this scenario is aggressive. A 1,000 XRP would mean a market cap of $60 trillion, with a supply of 60.6 billion tokens. Critics say that such a valuation is so high, it would exceed major global assets and raise questions about its feasibility.

Supporters counter that headline values overlook adoption, liquidity and structural changes in financial systems. Matthew Brienen, Armando Pantoja and others have echoed the long-term bullish view. They cite regulatory clarity and suppressed historic pricing as reasons XRP may surprise in a multi-year horizon.

For the moment, these debates are not connected to short-term price behavior. The markets are focusing on structure, liquidity and flows, not long-term projections.

Outlook. Will XRP go up?

XRP is still at a crossroads in its structure.

• Bullish case A decisive closing above $2.00 breaks down the descending trendline, and signals renewed momentum towards $2.20 and beyond.
• Bearish Case: A close below $1.80 on a daily basis confirms the breakdown and exposes $1.65. The risk extends to $1.50.

Sellers retain control until buyers regain trend resistance and improve flows. Patience remains the dominant strategy.

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