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Investor's Crypto Daily > Blog > Headlines > Cryptocurrency News > Bitcoin’s September Slump – Can History Repeat itself with an October Surge?
Cryptocurrency News

Bitcoin’s September Slump – Can History Repeat itself with an October Surge?

Last updated: September 7, 2024 12:25 pm
By Shelly Davidson 4 Min Read
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  • According to historical data, Bitcoin’s 7% drop in September often precedes significant October rallies of up to 47%.

  • Bitcoin has fallen 9% since September. The key support levels are $53,800 and 54,000.

  • Despite market uncertainties, Bitcoin holders show long term confidence with 75% of profits and increasing transaction activity.

Rekt Capital, a crypto analyst, highlights Bitcoin (BTC)’s past rebound following September declines. In September 2017, Bitcoin dropped 7% only to soar 47% in October. In September 2020, the 7% drop in Bitcoin was followed by a 27% rally in October. Even in 2021 a 7% decline paved the way to a 39% rise the following month. This September, Bitcoin has fallen 9%, which raises questions about its future.

Contents
Key Support Levels & Market SignalsToken Analysis and Investor Behavior

#BTC

When Bitcoin retraced by -7% in September 2017…

Bitcoin rallied +47% the following October

When BTC retraced by -7% in September 2020…

BTC rallied by +27% in October.

When BTC retraced by -7% in September 2021…

BTC rallied +39% in the following… https://t.co/sBgeS2Lafi pic.twitter.com/5N3T9wwatG

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) September 6, 2024

Bitcoin is currently trading at $53,678.00 with a 24-hour volume of $48.79 Billion. Bitcoin has dropped by 4.29% in the last 24 hours. The market capitalization stands at $1.06 trillion with a supply of 19,750.603 BTC circulating and a maximum of 21,000,000 BTC.

Key Support Levels & Market Signals

Bitcoin’s chart shows significant support levels. The primary support level is around $53,800. This is where the price recently found footing following a decline. A second potential support zone is around $54,000. However, this level has recently failed to hold.

Source: CoinMarketCap

The $55,000 level was also unable to provide support. This indicates continued selling pressure. In this case, $53,800 has become a key support level. A drop below this level could indicate further downward movement.

Gold futures are down, but the U.S. Dollar Index is up, which indicates a stronger dollar. Bitcoin’s dominance is down slightly, and Bitcoin exchange accounts are lower. This suggests a trend of long-term holding. Futures volumes have risen by 60%, and liquidations have also increased, suggesting an increase in market volatility.

Source: Coinglass

Binance traders are bullish, but funding rates on exchanges are mixed. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index also reflects extreme fear and cautionary investor behavior. Despite the general market uncertainty, Binance and OKX traders are primarily long on Bitcoin.

Token Analysis and Investor Behavior

Bitcoin’s summary of tokens shows a strong profitability. 75% are currently in profit. The fact that large holders control 12%, a decentralized distribution, is reflected in the fact that they hold a majority of the token supply. The token’s value is highly correlated with Bitcoin and therefore dependent on Bitcoin’s movement. The majority of token holders (71%) hold the tokens for more than a year. This shows long-term trust.

Source: IntoTheBlock

The total value of high-value transactions in the past week was $68.28billion, with a slight majority (53%), taking place in Eastern markets. A net outflow from exchanges of $598.43 millions suggests that holders are moving tokens away from exchanges, possibly indicating bullish sentiment.

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