Chipotle Mexican Grill is expected to announce its third-quarter earnings on Tuesday. Analysts expect the company to show solid growth in revenue and profits.
It will be watched closely as it is the first release of earnings after Brian Niccol, the star CEO of the chain left to join Starbucks in August. The news of Niccol’s departure caused a drop of 14% in CMG shares at that time.
Since August, even after Niccol, the stock price has continued to rise, and earnings should continue to support the trend.
Zacks Investment Research stated that “Chipotle is a strong candidate to beat earnings.”
. Chipotle is expected to report a profit of 25 cents per share. This represents an increase of 8.7% from last year, and a revenue of $2.8 billion, which is up 13.9% compared with the same period a year earlier.
The same-store sales will rise 6.3% compared to the previous quarter, indicating a consistent level of consumer interest.
Smoked Brisket returns to boost sales
Brian Niccol’s departure was a significant one. During his six-year tenure, Niccol successfully turned around the burrito-chain that had been in a slump following the loss of consumer confidence after a series of food-borne illness.
The company doubled its sales and the stock increased by about 800% under his leadership. Stocks fell as much as 14 percent on the news of his resignation, but have since recovered.
Chipotle’s strong position in the fast casual sector, its innovative technology capabilities and its efficient supply chain management are all reasons for The Street to be confident in Chipotle.
According to UBS’s Dennis Geiger, who stated in a Barron’s article, these elements are what make Chipotle so appealing across all income levels.
Even in a difficult macro, we continue to see CMG well-positioned for outperformance of traffic & gains in margins through ’24 and ’25.
The return of Smoked Brisket is likely to boost sales this quarter. This item has been a favorite among customers and historically generated a lot of interest.
Chipotle is not immune from the challenges facing other businesses in its industry, such as higher costs for food and labour.
Geiger thinks that Chipotle’s operational efficiency could cushion these costs.
Chipotle could also increase prices strategically to counteract these pressures as the economy stabilises.
Boatwright’s Investor Address will guide the stock market’s response to earnings
The earnings call is the first time interim CEO Scott Boatwright will have an opportunity to share his vision with investors.
Boatwright has been at Chipotle seven years and is considered by many as a long-term potential candidate for the role of CEO.
Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull wrote about Boatwright’s impact, saying, “This will be the interim CEO Scott Boatwright’s first chance to address investors directly, and we think his ability to instill confidence in the outlook of the company will factor into stock’s response post-earnings.”
Analysts and investors alike want to know Boatwright’s thoughts on how Chipotle can maintain growth as it enters its next phase.
Chipotle stock is up by 33% this year. It closed at $60.60, a 2% increase.
Barron’s reports that since an August Barron’s recommendation amid a stock decline of two months and subsequently a 50:1 split, Chipotle’s shares have gained 14% more, highlighting the confidence the market has in the company’s future.
Analysts anticipate that the company will remain resilient after earnings, driven by robust sales as well as an increasing loyal customer base.
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