According to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service, (C3S), the year 2024 will be the warmest in recorded history.
This report has been released in advance of the COP29 Climate Summit next week, which will be held in Azerbaijan.
It is expected that several countries will try to agree to a massive increase in funding for climate change to combat global warming, and similar issues.
The report states that 2024 is the first time the Earth will have a temperature increase of more than 1,5 degrees Celsius compared to 1850-1900, the pre-industrial era.
The election of Donald Trump as President has also raised questions about US policies on climate change.
Trump supports more oil and gas drilling and will likely rollback several climate laws passed by the administration of President Joe Biden.
The second warmest October on record was last month
C3S reports that last October was the second warmest on record globally.
The average temperature of the surface air in October was 15,25° Celsius. This is 0.80° Celsius higher than the average from 1991 to 2020.
Last month, the average temperature was 1.65°C higher than pre-industrial levels.
The global surface average temperature was 1.5 degrees Celsius higher than pre-industrial values for the 16th consecutive month.
The global temperature for the last 12 months was 0.74°C above the average of 1991-2020 and 1.62°C higher than pre-industrial temperatures.
The average temperature in the first 10 month of the year was 0.16 degree Celsius higher than the same time last year.
The average temperature for 1991-2021 was 0.71°C higher.
C3S’s report stated that “the average temperature anomaly of the remainder 2024 must drop to zero to prevent 2024 from being the warmest year.”
The ERA5 predicts that in 2024, the temperature will likely be higher than the preindustrial pre-2023 level by more than 1degC.
Temperatures in Europe
In October, the average temperature for Europe was 10,83° Celsius. This is 1.23° Celsius higher than the average between 1991 and 2020.
According to a report, October was Europe’s fifth-warmest month on record after 2022.
According to the agency, temperatures were higher than average in Europe on almost the entire continent.
Temperatures outside Europe were well above the average in northern Canada and central and western United States. They also exceeded average temperatures over northern Tibet, Japan and Australia.
The temperatures in central Greenland, and Iceland were below the average.
The Antarctic sea ice was second lowest in October
The Arctic sea ice extent reached 19% less than normal, the 4th lowest for a monthly average.
C3S reported that “sea ice anomalies are well below the average for all the peripheral seas in the Arctic Ocean. This is especially true in the Barents Sea and Canadian Archipelago as well as north of Svalbard.”
Antarctica’s sea ice in October was 8% lower than normal, the second-lowest for that month.
Samantha Burgess said that the C3S deputy director:
According to the ERA5 data, it’s now almost certain that the year 2024 will surpass all previous records and be the first one with temperatures more than 1.5oC higher than pre-industrial. The new record should be a motivator for the upcoming Climate Change Conference (COP29).
The post EU Climate Agency predicts that 2024 will be world’s hottest year ever recorded may be updated as new information unfolds
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