One of the most respected crypto analysts predicts higher crypto asset prices as he believes that Federal Reserve will end their anti-inflationary monetary policy.
The pseudonymous cryptocurrency analyst Pentoshi told his 861.300 followers in a recent thread on social media platform X, that the quantitative tightening policies (QT) are about to end. QT is a policy that lowers money supply and reduces Fed balance sheet.
Data from Polymarket’s decentralized prediction platform shows that 100 percent of users think that QT will be ended by the Fed in May this year.
As the cessation signals the loosening of monetary policy, the ending of QT can be bullish on risky assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), and other altcoins.
Pentoshi cautions that investors should be cautiously optimistic, as the S&P 500 has seen a growth in the past few years which appears to have been unsustainable.
“I believe we’re getting closer to the end [of QT] with Polymarket pricing odds now as a certainty whereas they used to be much lower odds. Trump is likely to force it, as previously mentioned. QT doesn’t automatically mean easy mode.
In my opinion, the general public’s perception of this mode has changed (2017/2021). Although prices are lower than ever, it is best to remain cautiously optimistic. There are many things that have dropped significantly, and hopefully there will be a decent mean reversion. The markets have been booming in general. Assets were probably a little overvalued.
SPX’s 25% growth in the past two years would have been low or even negative for this year, as that pace was not sustainable. BTC went up from $16,000 to 108,000 and SOL [from] 8 to $300. Cautionally optimistic. Be patient with any capitulation in time. Often, after big trends we get more sideways and less volatility, as the market eventually finds its balance .”
Pentoshi may be tactically bullish about stocks and crypto but he cautions that the rally is likely to be brief.
I think the current high will not be as good. Many people underestimate the importance of time. .”
Bitcoin currently trades for $83,248.
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The post, Trader Predicts Bitcoin Rallies amid Expectations of Fed’s Monetary Policies Shift-But There Is A Catch may change as new information becomes available.
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